Auto Predict · Machine Learning

A Practical Guide to Configuring Machine Learning Driven Forecasts in Oracle Planning

CloudADDIECloudADDIEJuly 27, 20265 min read
A Practical Guide to Configuring Machine Learning Driven Forecasts in Oracle Planning

Finance teams often spend significant time building forecasts, reviewing assumptions, and adjusting spreadsheets. Oracle Intelligent Performance Management (IPM) Auto Predict helps streamline that process by using historical data to generate predictive values directly within Oracle Planning.

This guide walks through the complete configuration, from defining the prediction calendar and data slices to running the Auto Predict job and reviewing the results. The example uses 36 months of historical Actual data to generate a six-month forecast for July through December FY26.

For where Auto Predict sits alongside the other IPM capabilities, see Oracle IPM Insights: what it actually does.

Prerequisites

The Oracle Planning navigation page

The application settings page, configured and saved

What Is Auto Predict?

Auto Predict analyzes historical time-series data and generates future predictions without requiring the administrator to manually choose a statistical forecasting algorithm. The administrator defines the calendar, selects the relevant data intersections, configures prediction options, and runs the IPM job.

1. Configure the Prediction Calendar

The calendar controls the historical periods used to train the prediction model and the future periods for which predictions will be generated.

Selecting IPM from the Oracle Planning home page

Clicking Configure

From IPM Configure, opening the Actions menu with the three dots and selecting Calendar

Selecting Add Calendar

Configuring the calendar, cube, current period, historical periods, and future periods

Implementation tip: Use substitution variables for the current Year and Period where possible. This allows the calendar to advance with the application period and avoids a manual calendar update every month.

The Time selection must include the entire historical and future range. The period immediately before the configured Current period becomes the final historical period used for model training. The number of historical and future periods must remain within the range defined for the calendar.

2. Create the IPM Insight

After the calendar is available, create an IPM configuration and select Auto Predict as the prediction method.

Selecting Create from the IPM Configure page

Entering the configuration details and selecting Auto Predict under Generate Predictions

3. Define the Data Slices

Data slices identify the intersections used for model training, prediction storage, and forecast comparison.

Defining the historical data and base prediction intersections

The data slice configuration

Selecting the historical-data cube and the future-data cube

Data-quality checkpoint: Every selected intersection must contain valid data for the periods defined in the calendar. Missing, inconsistent, or highly irregular data can reduce the usefulness of the generated prediction.

4. Configure Auto Predict Options

The Model Settings page controls how Auto Predict handles seasonality, missing values, outliers, methods, and prediction constraints. The appropriate settings depend on the behavior of the selected data.

Configuring Auto Predict options, including data screening, seasonality, methods, and prediction constraints

5. Save and Run the IPM Job

After the configuration is complete, save the IPM definition and run the job from the Actions menu. The job status can be monitored directly from the IPM configuration page.

IPM job status on the configuration page

Opening the Actions menu for the Auto Predict configuration and selecting Run

6. Validate the Forecast Results

A successful job does not automatically mean the forecast should be accepted without review. Compare the generated predictions with historical Actuals, existing forecasts, known business events, and operational expectations.

Historical Actual data used as the basis for the prediction

Forecast values generated for July through December FY26

Example Outcome

In this example, the model uses 36 months of historical Actual data for the selected account hierarchy. The historical values show Revenue (4910001) and the Direct Cost accounts (5510003, 5510004, and 5510005), with the parent totals calculated accordingly.

Auto Predict then generates Forecast values for July through December FY26 in the Working version. The forecasted direct-cost values roll up to P_5510000, while the forecasted revenue rolls up to P_4900000. Gross Profit is then calculated from these forecasted account values and displayed for the same future periods.

This provides a single view of historical Actuals and future Forecast values, allowing the finance team to compare the predicted results with historical performance and assess whether the forecast is reasonable before using it in the formal planning or forecasting process.

Best Practices

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Where Auto Predict Adds the Most Value

Auto Predict is especially useful for accounts or operational measures with consistent historical behavior, recurring seasonality, or stable trend patterns. Common applications include operating expenses, revenue, headcount-related costs, demand, volume, and cash-flow drivers.

It is less effective when the business has undergone a major structural change, when historical data is sparse, or when future results depend primarily on events that do not appear in the historical record.

Conclusion

Oracle IPM Auto Predict gives finance teams a practical way to bring machine learning into the forecasting process without building custom statistical models outside Oracle Planning. When the calendar, data slices, and prediction options are configured correctly, the process can produce repeatable forecast values that complement planner judgment and improve forecast discussions.

The strongest implementation is not simply one that generates a prediction. It is one that combines reliable data, thoughtful configuration, and disciplined business validation.

TaggedAuto PredictMachine LearningForecastingEPM Planning
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